

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 86.79%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 4.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 4-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 86.79% ( | 8.74% ( | 4.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.72% ( | 21.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.1% ( | 39.89% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.79% ( | 3.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 85.76% ( | 14.24% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.34% ( | 47.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.02% ( | 82.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 3-0 @ 10.36% ( 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 4-0 @ 8.92% ( 3-1 @ 7.68% ( 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 4-1 @ 6.61% ( 5-0 @ 6.13% ( 1-0 @ 5.26% ( 5-1 @ 4.55% ( 6-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 6-1 @ 2.61% ( 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 7-0 @ 1.73% ( 5-2 @ 1.69% ( 7-1 @ 1.28% ( 6-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 4.45% Total : 86.78% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( 2-2 @ 2.48% ( 0-0 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 8.74% | 1-2 @ 1.44% ( 0-1 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 4.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
