

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 14.17% (  0.23) | 18.9% (  0.43) | 66.93% (  -0.65) | 
| Both teams to score 53.13% (  -0.9) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.26% (  -1.48) | 39.74% (  1.48) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.91% (  -1.55) | 62.09% (  1.56) | 
| RKC Waalwijk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.68% (  -0.61) | 40.32% (  0.62) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.06% (  -0.56) | 76.94% (  0.57) | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 89.02% (  -0.58) | 10.98% (  0.58) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.76% (  -1.3) | 35.23% (  1.3) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 2-1 @ 4.04% (  0.05) 1-0 @ 4.02% (  0.21) 2-0 @ 1.83% (  0.07) 3-2 @ 1.35% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.22% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.17% | 1-1 @ 8.88% (  0.25) 2-2 @ 4.46% (  -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.43% (  0.3) 3-3 @ 0.99% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.9% | 0-2 @ 10.8% (  0.23) 1-2 @ 9.81% (  0.04) 0-1 @ 9.78% (  0.44) 0-3 @ 7.95% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.23% (  -0.15) 0-4 @ 4.39% (  -0.12) 1-4 @ 3.99% (  -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.28% (  -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.94% (  -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.81% (  -0.11) 1-5 @ 1.76% (  -0.13) Other @ 4.18% Total : 66.93% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 | 
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 | 
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 | 
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 | 
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 | 
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 | 
| 12 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 | 
| 13 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 | 
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
