We said: Gaziantep 2-1 Kayserispor
Gaziantep have established themselves as one of the strongest home sides in the league, with their only defeat at Gaziantep Stadium since August coming against league leaders Galatasaray.
Kayserispor have shown signs of progress under their new manager, but their poor away form remains a significant concern, and we anticipate that their struggles on the road will once again be laid bare by the hosts, who will look to capitalise on their home advantage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gaziantep in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gaziantep.