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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2025 at 10.30am UK
Kadir Has Sehir Stadi
Istanbul Basaksehir

Kayserispor
3 - 1
Istanbul

Mane (44'), Bahoken (67'), Cardoso (72')
Bourabia (38'), Yilmaz (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Paulin Keny (89')
Ba (12'), Kemen (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kayserispor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 2-0 Kayserispor
Saturday, March 1 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Sivasspor
Monday, March 3 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kayserispor 1-0 Istanbul Basaksehir

Kayserispor's strong home form and solid record against Basaksehir suggest they will be tough to beat – and despite the visitors' recent win over Sivasspor, their struggles on the road could prove costly, with the hosts eager to respond after defeat. The away side have failed to score in their last two matches on opposition ground, while the hosts have recently raised the bar at home with two straight wins, which is why we are predicting a slim victory for Kayserispor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.

Result
KayserisporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
31.1% (0.293 0.29) 25.93% (-0.177 -0.18) 42.98% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.2% (0.695 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06% (0.83900000000001 0.84)50.93% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (0.732 0.73)72.81% (-0.72999999999999 -0.73)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (0.629 0.63)30.41% (-0.627 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (0.741 0.74)66.62% (-0.74000000000001 -0.74)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (0.31099999999999 0.31)23.55% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.39% (0.446 0.45)57.6% (-0.445 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 31.1%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 42.97%
    Draw 25.92%
KayserisporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.076 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.1%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 42.97%

How you voted: Kayserispor vs Istanbul

Kayserispor
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Istanbul Basaksehir
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 8
Istanbul
1-1
Kayserispor
Piatek (53')
Lima (12')
Mane (32')
Ackah (90')
Feb 19, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 26
Istanbul
2-3
Kayserispor
Turuc (58'), Gureler (89')
Atan (26'), Piatek (65'), Kemen (79')
Nazon (9'), Karimi (15'), Boa Morte (84')
Karimi (25'), Nazon (67'), Ali Kaldirim (90+4'), Yilmaz (90+4'), Sazdagi (90+11')
Oct 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Kayserispor
0-0
Istanbul
Ackah (21'), Jeanvier (61')
Turuc (51'), Piatek (80')
Feb 2, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Istanbul
2-0
Kayserispor
Chadli (22'), Ozcan (50')
Turuc (26'), Lima (44'), Aleksic (59'), Touba (61'), Crivelli (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray31255178304880
2Fenerbahce31236280314975
3Samsunspor32166104738954
4BesiktasBesiktas311410748321652
5EyupsporEyupspor321481049381150
6Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul301461049391048
7TrabzonsporTrabzonspor311291052391345
8KonyasporKonyaspor32127134144-343
9KasimpasaKasimpasa31101295355-242
10GaziantepGaziantep31126134143-242
11Goztepe SKGoztepe SK301010104738940
12KayserisporKayserispor311010113949-1040
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor31117133455-2140
14Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor31114163650-1437
15SivassporSivasspor3297164353-1034
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor3197153647-1134
17Bodrumspor3297162437-1334
18Hatayspor3147203362-2919
19Adana Demirspor3124252777-50-2


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