MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 05:01:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 29, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Estoril

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Estoril

Cassiano (43' pen.)
Cassiano (7'), Mohamed (45+2')
Livolant (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Begraoui (21'), Marques (82'), Carvalho (87')
Holsgrove (64')
Pina (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, April 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Braga
Saturday, April 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-0 Estoril Praia

Despite recent struggles, Casa Pia have won three of their last five home games, so securing another victory against an Estoril side who have not been convincing on their recent travels would not come as a surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawEstoril Praia
34.81% (-1.074 -1.07) 26.79% (-0.225 -0.23) 38.4% (1.303 1.3)
Both teams to score 51.48% (0.624 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39% (0.831 0.83)53.61% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89% (0.697 0.7)75.11% (-0.694 -0.69)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.259 -0.26)29.31% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (-0.318 -0.32)65.28% (0.322 0.32)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (1.149 1.15)27.17% (-1.145 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (1.472 1.47)62.57% (-1.468 -1.47)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 34.81%
    Estoril Praia 38.4%
    Draw 26.79%
Casa PiaDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.387 -0.39)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.81%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.203 0.2)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.214 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.108 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.4%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Estoril

Casa Pia
71.7%
Draw
18.9%
Estoril Praia
9.4%
53
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 14
Estoril
0-2
Casa Pia

Costa (38'), Garcia (40'), Boma (61'), Livolant (61')
Segovia (56'), Cassiano (63')
Pedro Goulart Silva (68'), Segovia (78')
Apr 8, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Casa Pia
0-0
Estoril
Basso (72'), Fernandes (83')
Nov 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 11
Estoril
4-0
Casa Pia
Marques (1'), Guitane (24'), Gomes (69'), Cassiano (90+5')
Marques (14'), Holsgrove (64'), Gomes (73')

Neto (32'), Roberto (36'), Cardoso (82'), Mukendi (90+3')
May 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 33
Casa Pia
2-2
Estoril
Cardoso (85' pen.), Godwin (90+6' pen.)
Godwin (90+7')
Cassiano (74'), Alvaro (90+8')
Guitane (34'), Carvalho (58'), Cassiano (77'), Vital (83'), Geraldes (86'), Joaozinho (90+1')
Jan 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
Estoril
2-0
Casa Pia
Geraldes (32' pen.), Gouveia (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31236283255875
2Benfica31243480255575
3Braga31197552262664
4Porto31195757282962
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes311312644321251
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara31155113129250
7FamalicaoFamalicao31111194034644
8Estoril PraiaEstoril31119114149-842
9Casa Pia31118123641-541
10MoreirenseMoreirense3199133645-936
11Nacional3196162842-1433
12AroucaArouca3189143047-1733
13Rio AveRio Ave3189143351-1833
14Gil Vicente3188153143-1232
15Estrela Amadora3178162443-1929
16AVS31412152355-3224
17SC FarenseFarense3149182042-2221
18BoavistaBoavista3156202052-3221


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