Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 29, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Estoril

Cassiano (43' pen.)
Cassiano (7'), Mohamed (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Begraoui (21'), Marques (82'), Carvalho (87')
Holsgrove (64')
Pina (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, April 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Braga
Saturday, April 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Estoril Praia
34.81% ( -1.07)	26.79% ( -0.23)	38.4% ( 1.3)

Both teams to score 51.48% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.39% (

0.83)

53.61% (

-0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.89% (

0.7)

75.11% (

-0.69)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

-0.26)

29.31% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72% (

-0.32)

65.28% (

0.32)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

1.15)

27.17% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

1.47)

62.57% (

-1.47)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 34.81%

Estoril Praia 38.4%

Draw 26.79%

Casa Pia	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.81%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.4%