Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
34.81% (![]() | 26.79% (![]() | 38.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.39% (![]() | 53.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.89% (![]() | 75.11% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.69% (![]() | 29.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.72% (![]() | 65.28% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.83% (![]() | 27.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.43% (![]() | 62.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 9.77% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 12.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 41 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |