Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
46.17% (![]() | 26.51% (![]() | 27.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.98% (![]() | 55.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% (![]() | 76.28% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% (![]() | 23.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% (![]() | 57.94% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% (![]() | 35.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% (![]() | 72.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 12.08% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 12.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.74% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |