We said: Porto 3-0 Casa Pia
Porto are expected to put the recent wobble behind them on their return to the Dragao, seeking a return to winning ways at Casa Pia's expense.
After four matches without success, Bruno's team are backed to record a seventh straight Liga victory in front of their supporters and eighth since the end of last season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.24%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 3.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 4-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.36%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.