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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Maritimo
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Porto
Casa Pia
0 - 0
Porto

Soares (33'), Batista (74')
Soares (45+1')
FT
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia
Wednesday, December 28 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-1 Arouca
Wednesday, December 28 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-3 Porto

While Casa Pia have put together a fine run of form in the league, next up is the stern challenge of taking on a rampant Porto side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality between the two sides, we are backing Conceicao's side to claim a comfortable win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPorto
11.17% (-0.971 -0.97) 20.44% (-0.933 -0.93) 68.38% (1.901 1.9)
Both teams to score 39.59% (-0.299 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.8% (1.317 1.32)53.2% (-1.319 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (1.105 1.11)74.76% (-1.108 -1.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.36% (-0.929 -0.93)53.63% (0.92599999999999 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.95% (-0.586 -0.59)87.04% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (1.041 1.04)14.61% (-1.045 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (1.972 1.97)42.71% (-1.973 -1.97)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 11.17%
    Porto 68.37%
    Draw 20.44%
Casa PiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.88% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-1 @ 2.93% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 1.52% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.17%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.415 -0.41)
2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.44%
0-1 @ 15.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 14.49% (0.31 0.31)
0-3 @ 9.29% (0.525 0.52)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.79% (0.174 0.17)
0-4 @ 4.47% (0.404 0.4)
1-4 @ 2.78% (0.181 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.72% (0.211 0.21)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 68.37%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Porto

Casa Pia
3.1%
Draw
6.3%
Porto
90.6%
32
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica32272377185983
2Porto31244364194576
3Braga31232666264071
4Sporting Lisbon32224667293870
5AroucaArouca3113993335-248
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31145123236-447
7ChavesChaves321210103435-146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32134153541-643
9Vizela32117143335-240
10Casa Pia31117132835-740
11BoavistaBoavista32117143852-1440
12Rio AveRio Ave31109123337-439
13PortimonensePortimonense32104182545-2034
14Gil Vicente3297163140-934
15Estoril PraiaEstoril3184192646-2028
16Maritimo3265213060-3023
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira3255222358-3520
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara3147202250-2819

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