Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
11.17% (![]() | 20.44% (![]() | 68.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.8% (![]() | 53.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% (![]() | 74.76% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.36% (![]() | 53.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.95% (![]() | 87.04% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% (![]() | 14.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% (![]() | 42.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.17% | 1-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.81% ( ![]() Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.44% | 0-1 @ 15.07% (![]() 0-2 @ 14.49% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 9.29% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 68.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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