Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Porto |
12.49% (![]() | 18.87% (![]() | 68.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% (![]() | 43.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% (![]() | 66.03% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.65% (![]() | 45.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.79% (![]() | 81.21% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.36% (![]() | 11.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.33% (![]() | 36.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.17% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.49% | 1-1 @ 8.98% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.87% | 0-2 @ 12.2% (![]() 0-1 @ 11.35% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.65% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 68.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 16 |
> Full Version |