Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
17.91% (![]() | 22.19% (![]() | 59.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.67% (![]() | 47.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.45% (![]() | 69.56% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.85% (![]() | 40.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.21% (![]() | 76.79% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% (![]() | 15.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% (![]() | 44.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.64% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.91% | 1-1 @ 10.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 11.56% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.82% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Benfica | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
4 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |