

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Portimonense |
| 43.82% ( | 27.82% ( | 28.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.75% ( | 59.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.34% ( | 79.66% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( | 26.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.82% ( | 62.17% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( | 36.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.39% ( | 73.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-2 @ 4.27% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Porto | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Vizela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
| 17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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