| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 36.47% ( | 27.33% ( | 36.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.33% ( | 55.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( | 76.82% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( | 29.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.73% ( | 65.26% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( | 29.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.54% ( | 65.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 48 |
| 3 | Braga | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 46 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
| 8 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 26 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 22 |
| 15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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