Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Reading | 
| 50.42% (  0.83) | 26.5% (  -0.05) | 23.08% (  -0.78) | 
| Both teams to score 45.6% (  -0.66) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.11% (  -0.45) | 57.89% (  0.45) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.39% (  -0.36) | 78.61% (  0.35) | 
| Cardiff City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.93% (  0.18) | 23.07% (  -0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.09% (  0.26) | 56.91% (  -0.26) | 
| Reading Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.27% (  -1) | 40.73% (  1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.69% (  -0.91) | 77.31% (  0.91) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cardiff City | Draw | Reading | 
| 1-0 @ 13.78% (  0.31) 2-0 @ 10.1% (  0.27) 2-1 @ 9.08% (  0) 3-0 @ 4.94% (  0.16) 3-1 @ 4.44% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% (  -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.81% (  0.07) 4-1 @ 1.63% (  0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% (  -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.4% (  0.16) 2-2 @ 4.08% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.44% (  -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.56% (  -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.79% (  -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.67% (  -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.22% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.14% (  -0.08) Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.08% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 | 
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 | 
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 | 
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 | 
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 | 
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 | 
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 | 
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 | 
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 | 
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 | 
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 | 
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 | 
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 | 
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 | 
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 | 
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 | 
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 | 
| > Championship Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
