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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Reading logo
Cardiff
1 - 0
Reading
Sawyers (90+1')
McGuinness (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dann (27'), N'Diaye (76')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-0 Reading

There have generally been a lack of goals at the Cardiff City Stadium this season, and we expect that to continue here. Nevertheless, now that the Bluebirds have finally ended their losing streak, the home side could make it two wins in three days, prevailing with a clean sheet to boot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawReading
50.42% (0.826 0.83) 26.5% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 23.08% (-0.781 -0.78)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11% (-0.449 -0.45)57.89% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39% (-0.357 -0.36)78.61% (0.35499999999999 0.35)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.17700000000001 0.18)23.07% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.262 0.26)56.91% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (-1 -1)40.73% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (-0.911 -0.91)77.31% (0.90899999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 50.42%
    Reading 23.08%
    Draw 26.49%
Cardiff CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.4% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Reading

Cardiff City
65.4%
Draw
13.1%
Reading
21.5%
107
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Reading
2-1
Cardiff
Long (27' pen.), Ince (63')
Hoilett (20'), Abretti (86'), Yiadom (90')
O'Dowda (4')
Nelson (25'), Collins (65'), Harris (90')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Reading
1-2
Cardiff
Joao (7')
Doughty (59'), Vaulks (85')
Ng (70')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Reading

Pack (32'), Ralls (37'), Collins (84'), McGuinness (90+3')
Hoilett (38')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Reading
1-1
Cardiff
Meite (90+3')
Moore (87' pen.)
Nelson (46'), Pack (50'), Brown (78')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Reading
Tomlin (81')
Hoilett (18'), Moore (53')
Morrison (47'), Joao (66')
Olise (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742

Real Madrid Until The End
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