| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Portimonense | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Chaves | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Vizela | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Arouca | 2 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Vizela |
| 42.09% ( | 28.31% ( | 29.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.56% ( | 60.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.43% ( | 80.57% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( | 28.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.91% ( | 64.09% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.51% ( | 36.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.72% ( | 73.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% ( 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0-0 @ 10.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
| 3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
| 5 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 23 |
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
| 14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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