Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.52%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 7.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.