Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
39.72% (![]() | 26.56% (![]() | 33.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% (![]() | 52.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% (![]() | 74.44% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% (![]() | 26.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% (![]() | 61.11% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% (![]() | 29.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% (![]() | 65.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.37% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 12.63% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 14 | 52 | 68 |
2 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
3 | Braga | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 56 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
16 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
17 | Maritimo | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 47 | -30 | 16 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 15 |
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