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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
61.43% (![]() | 21.29% (![]() | 17.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.51% (![]() | 44.49% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.14% (![]() | 66.86% (![]() |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.03% (![]() | 13.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.53% (![]() | 41.46% (![]() |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.79% (![]() | 39.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.08% (![]() | 75.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 10.78% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.61% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 61.43% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 0-0 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.13% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 17.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |