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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Columbus Crew
Orlando City
2 - 1
Columbus Crew
Urso (56'), Torres (84' pen.)
Araujo (58'), Smith (78'), Michel (84'), Urso (87'), Angulo (90'), Cartagena (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Etienne (38')
Santos (9'), Nagbe (73'), Degenek (83')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 4-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 6 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 6 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Columbus Crew

The Crew have an edge in terms of individual quality and match-winners, but they have had far too many defensive breakdowns this season at the most inopportune times, not the mention they have had a miserable campaign away from home, losing more road games than any side in MLS (10). If this match were in Columbus, we would be inclined to predict a victory for the Crew, however, the Lions have been much more disciplined and solid defensively at home, which we believe will frustrate the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Orlando City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.

Result
Orlando CityDrawColumbus Crew
52.49% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 23.67% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 23.83% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.81% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83% (0.070999999999998 0.07)46.17% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (0.068000000000001 0.07)68.46% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (0.052000000000007 0.05)17.56% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.88% (0.090000000000003 0.09)48.11% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.14% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 52.49%
    Columbus Crew 23.83%
    Draw 23.67%
Orlando CityDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 52.49%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 23.83%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Columbus Crew

Orlando City
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Columbus Crew
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
0-2
Orlando City

Moreira (45+1'), Artur (90+4')
Schlegel (37'), Kara (51')
Perea (71'), Smith (73'), Schlegel (77')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-2
Orlando City
Berry (20'), Etienne (31'), Zelarayan (61')
Mensah (45'), Valenzuela (90+5')
Dike (52' pen.), Jansson (90+2')
Mendez (13'), Smith (57')
Sep 5, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
3-2
Columbus Crew
Dike (26'), Van der Water (29'), Urso (69')
Urso (42'), DeZart (51')
Carlos (52' og.), Berry (54')
Nov 5, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
Columbus Crew
Mueller (27'), Michel (84')
Jansson (56'), Pereyra (64'), Gallese (90+4')
Nani (52')
Afful (56')
Santos (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England127321911824
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati117311512324
3Nashville SCNashville12543157819
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta125342121018
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia115241714317
6Columbus Crew114342114715
7DC United124351616015
8Inter MiamiInter Miami115061212015
9New York City FCNY City124351415-115
10Orlando City114341214-215
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC124351622-615
12CF MontrealMontreal115061117-615
13Chicago Fire113531416-214
14New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls12264811-312
15Toronto122641317-412

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Seattle SoundersSeattle127231991023
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles106312081221
3St Louis City126242213920
4Dallas125431311219
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes115331514118
6Portland TimbersPortland124351819-115
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver113531512314
8Houston DynamoHouston10424109114
9Colorado RapidsColorado122641014-412
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd113351014-412
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake113261020-1011
12Austin FCAustin112451017-710
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas12237816-89
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10136817-96

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