| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 8 | 44 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 27 | -6 | 39 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 5 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | -10 | 34 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | -6 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 47.43% ( | 25.86% ( | 26.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( | 52.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.48% ( | 74.52% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( | 22.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.22% ( | 55.77% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( | 34.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.53% ( | 71.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 48 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 |
| 10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 38 |
| 13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 48 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 |
| 10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 38 |
| 13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |
