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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK at Florida Citrus Bowl
Orlando City
0 - 1
Philadelphia

Kara (31'), Moutinho (37'), Araujo (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (39')
Andres Martinez (8'), Carranza (44')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Arsenal
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 New England
Sunday, July 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-2 Philadelphia Union

 Philadelphia Union head into the game on a better run of results and will back themselves to come away with all three points. While we expect Orlando City to put up a good fight, we are tipping the away side to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
40.19% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.67% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.54% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.38% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)30.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)66.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 40.19%
    Philadelphia Union 33.14%
    Draw 26.66%
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.14%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Philadelphia

Orlando City
18.2%
Draw
6.1%
Philadelphia Union
75.8%
33
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 9pm
Philadelphia
3-1
Orlando City
Wagner (37'), Przybylko (61', 89' pen.)
Flach (53')
Ruan (57')
Schlegel (33'), Ruan (59'), Michel (75'), Gallese (80'), Jansson (80'), Aguilera (86')
Carlos (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.25am
Orlando City
2-1
Philadelphia
Michel (10'), Perea (59')
Pereyra (45'), Michel (78')
Przybylko (68')
Santos (56')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
P-P
Orlando City
Jul 26, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
P-P
Philadelphia
Jul 21, 2020 1am
Philadelphia
1-1
Orlando City
rhs 2.0
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