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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 18 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 17 | -3 | 25 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 18 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 19 | -13 | 16 |
| 10 | DC United | 15 | -10 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | DC United |
| 55.1% ( | 23.63% ( | 21.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( | 48.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( | 70.88% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( | 17.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.88% ( | 48.11% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% ( | 37.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.86% ( | 74.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 3-0 @ 5.75% ( 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.6% Total : 55.1% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | DC United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Toronto | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Dallas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |
