Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
50.87% (![]() | 25.72% (![]() | 23.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.17% (![]() | 54.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.87% (![]() | 76.12% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% (![]() | 21.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.31% (![]() | 54.68% (![]() |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.32% (![]() | 38.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.58% (![]() | 75.42% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 12.8% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 12.15% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 7.93% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |