Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Guadeloupe win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuba in this match.