Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a French Guiana win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a French Guiana win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 0-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that French Guiana would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.06) 
