Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Lithuania2 - 2Hungary
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lithuania 1-3 Hungary
Both teams come into this match on the back of wins on Saturday, but the difference between the two teams in terms of group standings and quality of performances is still too obvious to make it an equal match up. Hungary are still undefeated away from home in the Euro 2024 qualifiers, and it should remain that way after the final whistle in Kaunas on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.71%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Hungary |
12.24% ( -0.11) | 20.63% ( -0.37) | 67.12% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
