MX23RW : Saturday, June 17 22:40:40| >> :120:15899:15899:
Lithuania national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Bulgaria national football team
Lithuania
1 - 1
Bulgaria
Girdvainis (15')
Paulauskas (45'), Gineitis (90+2')
Lasickas (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Petkov (27')
Rusev (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Lithuania and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Greece 0-0 Lithuania
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
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All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Hungary 3-0 Bulgaria
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Lithuania 1-1 Bulgaria

It is hard separating both nations, whose inability to score consistently enough means they may play out a low-scoring encounter in Kaunas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bulgaria win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw has a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lithuania has a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Lithuania win it is 1-0 (6.82%).

Result
LithuaniaDrawBulgaria
18.78% (-2.703 -2.7) 24.19% (-1.38 -1.38) 57.03% (4.08 4.08)
Both teams to score 46.25% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.99% (2.015 2.02)54% (-2.016 -2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.55% (1.662 1.66)75.44% (-1.664 -1.66)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-1.789 -1.79)43.04% (1.787 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (-1.545 -1.55)79.33% (1.543 1.54)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (2.409 2.41)18.79% (-2.41 -2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.79% (3.879 3.88)50.21% (-3.882 -3.88)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 18.78%
    Bulgaria 57.02%
    Draw 24.18%
LithuaniaDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 6.82% (-0.926 -0.93)
2-1 @ 4.8% (-0.513 -0.51)
2-0 @ 2.87% (-0.554 -0.55)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.78%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.62 -0.62)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.659 -0.66)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 13.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 11.3% (0.78 0.78)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.212 0.21)
0-3 @ 6.3% (0.858 0.86)
1-3 @ 5.31% (0.492 0.49)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.522 0.52)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.351 0.35)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 57.02%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Bulgaria

Lithuania
21.2%
Draw
34.8%
Bulgaria
43.9%
66
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Lithuania
3-1
Bulgaria
Lasickas (18'), Cernych (82', 84')
Vaitkunas (13'), Lasickas (48'), Laukzemis (62'), Novikovas (78')
Despodov (64')
Antov (29'), Vitanov (46'), Yomov (60')
Sep 5, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Bulgaria
1-0
Lithuania
Chochev (82')
Iliev (85')
Borislavov Mihaylov (83')

Jankauskas (80'), Cernych (89'), Simkus (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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