MX23RW : Saturday, June 17 22:39:31| >> :120:29638:29638:
Botswana national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Francistown Stadium
Libya national football team
Botswana
1 - 0
Libya
Mohutsiwa (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bin Amir (23'), Ellafi (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Botswana and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Eq Guinea
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 0-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, March 28 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Botswana 1-1 Libya

Botswana can afford to take their foot off the gas a bit here, while Libya have little margin for error as they look to make up a near-unassailable margin. That said, we expect a keenly-contested affair with honours even in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botswana win with a probability of 35.1%. A win for Libya has a probability of 33.9% and a draw has a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.92%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest Libya win is 0-1 (13.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 0-0 (13.74%).

Result
BotswanaDrawLibya
35.1% (-0.43 -0.43) 30.99% (0.435 0.43) 33.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.58% (-1.085 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.91% (-1.267 -1.27)68.09% (1.265 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14% (-0.849 -0.85)85.99% (0.848 0.85)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-0.998 -1)36.66% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-1.015 -1.02)73.44% (1.012 1.01)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (-0.716 -0.72)37.5% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (-0.711 -0.71)74.28% (0.708 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Botswana 35.09%
    Libya 33.9%
    Draw 30.99%
BotswanaDrawLibya
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 35.09%
0-0 @ 13.74% (0.63 0.63)
1-1 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.99%
0-1 @ 13.48% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 33.9%

How you voted: Botswana vs Libya

Botswana
27.7%
Draw
41.5%
Libya
30.9%
94
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Libya
1-0
Botswana
Taher (54')

Phoko (39'), Gaolaolwe (53'), Kebue (61'), Ditlhokwe (84')
rhs 2.0
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