Buoyed by their home supporters, Algeria should be fully up for this one and will back themselves to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. We can see the hosts emerging triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 74.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Libya had a probability of 6.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.93%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.28%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.
0.16) 
-0.2) 
