MX23RW : Saturday, June 17 22:32:11| >> :120:29198:29198:
South Africa national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
FNB Stadium
Morocco national football team
South Africa
2 - 1
Morocco
Munir (5' og.), Lepasa (48')
Tau (10'), Mayambela (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ziyech (60')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Africa and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Liberia 1-2 South Africa
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Cape Verde
Monday, June 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: South Africa 0-1 Morocco

South Africa are currently on a fine run of results and will be backing themselves this weekend in front of their home supporters. However, we expect Morocco to have too much quality for the Bafana Bafana. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we fancy the Atlas Lions coming out on top this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw has a probability of 26.4% and a win for Morocco has a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Morocco win it is 0-1 (8.16%).

Result
South AfricaDrawMorocco
53.14% (2.373 2.37) 26.36% (-0.349 -0.35) 20.5% (-2.03 -2.03)
Both teams to score 43% (-1.482 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.32% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)59.68% (0.637 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.01% (-0.494 -0.49)79.99% (0.491 0.49)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (0.773 0.77)22.63% (-0.777 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74% (1.137 1.14)56.26% (-1.141 -1.14)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.58% (-2.498 -2.5)44.42% (2.494 2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.53% (-2.098 -2.1)80.47% (2.094 2.09)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 53.13%
    Morocco 20.5%
    Draw 26.35%
South AfricaDrawMorocco
1-0 @ 14.93% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.75 0.75)
2-1 @ 9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.488 0.49)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 53.13%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 10.05% (0.234 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.373 -0.37)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.466 -0.47)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.398 -0.4)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 20.5%

How you voted: South Africa vs Morocco

South Africa
22.4%
Draw
8.2%
Morocco
69.4%
49
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Morocco
2-1
South Africa
En-Nesyri (51'), El Kaabi (87')
Foster (8')
Foster (24'), Sithole (44'), Williams (81')
Jul 1, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
South Africa
0-1
Morocco

Zwane (18'), Zungu (31')
Boussoufa (90')
rhs 2.0
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