South Africa national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
 
Mozambique national football team

South Africa
2 - 1
Mozambique

Hlongwane (57', 60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Divrassone (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between South Africa and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Botswana
Tuesday, September 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Mozambique

Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Senegal (2-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 17 at 2.30pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawMozambique
53.46%25.2%21.34%
Both teams to score 47.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18%54.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88%76.12%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49%20.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47%53%
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29%40.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7%77.3%
Score Analysis
    South Africa 53.46%
    Mozambique 21.34%
    Draw 25.19%
South AfricaDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 13.23%
2-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 5.53%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.46%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.5%
1-2 @ 5.34%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: South Africa vs Mozambique

South Africa
73.7%
Draw
12.3%
Mozambique
14.0%
57
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2022 4pm
South Africa
0-0
Mozambique
 Mozambique win 5-4 on penalties

Johannes (40'), Msane (73')

Telinho (34'), Momade (83')
Jul 16, 2021 4pm
South Africa
3-0
Mozambique
Ngcobo (24'), Yusuf Maart (59'), Victor Letsoalo (73' pen.)
Sithebe (38'), Ngcobo (62')

Macaime Junior (33'), M. Nangy (45+1'), Muze (58'), J. Pelembe (79'), Ernesto (86')
Jan 11, 2014 4pm
South Africa
3-1
Mozambique
Parker (30' pen., 82'), Kekana (58')
Diogo (11')
Miro (52')
> Match Report