South Africa national football team
COSAFA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 13, 2022 at 4pm UK
Princess Magogo Stadium
Mozambique national football team

South Africa
0 - 0
Mozambique


Johannes (40'), Msane (73')
FT

Telinho (34'), Momade (83')
Mozambique win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Quarter-Finals clash between South Africa and Mozambique.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

Last Six:
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mozambique

Last Game: Benin 0-1 Mozambique
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 55%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
South AfricaDrawMozambique
55% (0.234 0.23)22.38% (0.02 0.02)22.62% (-0.259 -0.26)
Both teams to score 57.63% (-0.414 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27% (-0.392 -0.39)41.73% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.86% (-0.396 -0.4)64.13% (0.392 0.39)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.9% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)15.09% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.36% (-0.107 -0.11)43.63% (0.103 0.1)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.87% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)32.13% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.39% (-0.503 -0.5)68.61% (0.499 0.5)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 55%
    Mozambique 22.62%
    Draw 22.38%
South AfricaDrawMozambique
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 55%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 22.62%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2021 4pm
South Africa
3-0
Mozambique
Ngcobo (24'), Yusuf Maart (59'), Victor Letsoalo (73' pen.)
Sithebe (38'), Ngcobo (62')

Macaime Junior (33'), M. Nangy (45+1'), Muze (58'), J. Pelembe (79'), Ernesto (86')
Jan 11, 2014 4pm
South Africa
3-1
Mozambique
Parker (30' pen., 82'), Kekana (58')
Diogo (11')
Miro (52')
> Match Report