MX23RW : Wednesday, July 13 16:02:34| >> :600:1313530:1313530:
Oct 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
South Africa
1 - 0
Ethiopia
Kebede (11' og.)
Letsoalo (21'), Zuke (89'), Kutumela (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nasir Ahmed (66')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between South Africa and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawEthiopia
55.74%26.27%17.99%
Both teams to score 39.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.04%61.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.3%81.7%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51%22.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96%56.04%
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.3%48.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26%83.74%
Score Analysis
    South Africa 55.74%
    Ethiopia 17.99%
    Draw 26.26%
South AfricaDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 16.34%
2-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 4.36%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.63%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 55.74%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 7.88%
1-2 @ 4.23%
0-2 @ 2.84%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.99%

How you voted: South Africa vs Ethiopia

South Africa
92.7%
Draw
4.9%
Ethiopia
2.4%
41
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 2pm
Ethiopia
1-3
South Africa
Kebede (67')
Mokoena (45+1'), Mvala (71'), Makgopa (90+1')
Simon Kutumela (66'), Letsoalo (77'), Williams (82')

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