Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
