
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
| 25.28% ( | 23.19% ( | 51.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( | 42.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( | 65.1% ( |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( | 30.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.37% ( | 66.63% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( | 16.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.52% ( | 46.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 3-0 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.28% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0-2 @ 8.14% ( 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0-3 @ 4.87% ( 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0-4 @ 2.18% ( 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 1-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Barnet | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Halifax TownHalifax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Ebbsfleet | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Eastleigh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Fylde | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 21 | York City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Bromley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
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