Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for York City in this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers | 
| 52.47% (  4.51) | 23.23% (  -0.82) | 24.3% (  -3.69) | 
| Both teams to score 56.81% (  -0.71) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.22% (  0.65) | 43.78% (  -0.65) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.83% (  0.63) | 66.17% (  -0.63) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.31% (  1.96) | 16.69% (  -1.96) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.42% (  3.39) | 46.58% (  -3.39) | 
| Dorking Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.19% (  -2.52) | 31.81% (  2.52) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.75% (  -2.99) | 68.25% (  2.99) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers | 
| 2-1 @ 9.75% (  0.29) 1-0 @ 9.51% (  0.33) 2-0 @ 8.51% (  0.81) 3-1 @ 5.82% (  0.52) 3-0 @ 5.08% (  0.77) 3-2 @ 3.33% (  0.08) 4-1 @ 2.6% (  0.38) 4-0 @ 2.27% (  0.46) 4-2 @ 1.49% (  0.13) 5-1 @ 0.93% (  0.19) Other @ 3.19% Total : 52.47% | 1-1 @ 10.88% (  -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.58% (  -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.31% (  -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.27% (  -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 6.24% (  -0.68) 0-1 @ 6.08% (  -0.63) 0-2 @ 3.48% (  -0.64) 1-3 @ 2.38% (  -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.13% (  -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.33% (  -0.36) Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.3% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 | 
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 | 
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 | 
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 | 
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 | 
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 | 
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 | 
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | 
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 | 
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 | 
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 | 
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 | 
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 | 
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