
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bromley | Draw | York City |
| 46.44% ( | 24.88% ( | 28.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( | 47.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.16% ( | 69.84% ( |
| Bromley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( | 20.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.91% ( | 53.09% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( | 30.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.35% ( | 66.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bromley | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.44% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 1-2 @ 7% ( 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 |
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