

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
| 40.5% ( | 25.39% ( | 34.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.26% ( | 47.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( | 69.93% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( | 23.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.64% ( | 57.35% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( | 26.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.79% ( | 62.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 1-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
| 5 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
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