Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.