Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
51.2% (![]() | 25.03% (![]() | 23.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.12% (![]() | 51.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.37% (![]() | 73.63% (![]() |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.73% (![]() | 20.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.39% (![]() | 52.61% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.29% (![]() | 36.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.5% (![]() | 73.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 11.87% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.48% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 11.9% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 24 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
5 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |