

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United | 
| 51.2% (  -0.28) | 25.03% (  0.28) | 23.76% (  0) | 
| Both teams to score 50.46% (  -0.82) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.12% (  -1.09) | 51.88% (  1.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.37% (  -0.95) | 73.63% (  0.95) | 
| Greenock Morton Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.73% (  -0.54) | 20.26% (  0.54) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.39% (  -0.88) | 52.61% (  0.87) | 
| Ayr United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.29% (  -0.59) | 36.71% (  0.59) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.5% (  -0.6) | 73.49% (  0.6) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United | 
| 1-0 @ 11.87% (  0.31) 2-1 @ 9.5% (  -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.48% (  0.09) 3-1 @ 5.05% (  -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.04% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% (  -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.02% (  -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.01% (  -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.01% (  -0.06) Other @ 2.68% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 11.9% (  0.13) 0-0 @ 7.44% (  0.32) 2-2 @ 4.76% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.45% (  0.2) 1-2 @ 5.96% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.74% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 1.99% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.25% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.76% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 24 | 
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 | 
| 5 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 | 
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 | 
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 | 
| 8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | 
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 | 
| > Scottish Championship Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
