

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton | 
| 54.91% (  -1.12) | 24.19% (  0.25) | 20.89% (  0.87) | 
| Both teams to score 49.42% (  0.52) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.53% (  0.04) | 51.47% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.72% (  0.03) | 73.28% (  -0.03) | 
| Ayr United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.36% (  -0.41) | 18.64% (  0.41) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.05% (  -0.69) | 49.95% (  0.69) | 
| Greenock Morton Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.74% (  0.94) | 39.26% (  -0.94) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.03% (  0.87) | 75.97% (  -0.87) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton | 
| 1-0 @ 12.29% (  -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.32% (  -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.65% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.78% (  -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.41% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.53% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 2.43% (  -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.27% (  -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% (  -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.9% | 1-1 @ 11.49% (  0.13) 0-0 @ 7.32% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% (  0.11) Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% (  0.16) 1-2 @ 5.37% (  0.19) 0-2 @ 3.2% (  0.16) 1-3 @ 1.67% (  0.1) 2-3 @ 1.41% (  0.07) 0-3 @ 1% (  0.07) Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.89% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 24 | 
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 | 
| 5 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 | 
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 | 
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 | 
| 8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | 
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 | 
| > Scottish Championship Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
