

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 41.56% ( | 28.33% ( | 30.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% ( | 60.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% ( | 80.51% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( | 28.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.59% ( | 64.42% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% ( | 36.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.17% ( | 72.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.2% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 2-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 66 | 40 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 57 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 34 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 31 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 31 |
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