Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 51.82% | 25.8% | 22.37% |
| Both teams to score 46.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% | 56.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% | 77.1% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% | 21.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.19% | 54.8% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.65% | 40.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.03% | 76.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.82% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 7.94% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.3% Total : 22.37% |






