Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.