Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 79.01%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 7.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.