Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.