

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Hamilton Academical | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Raith Rovers | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ayr United | 6 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Dundee | 6 | 3 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 48.11% ( | 26.14% ( | 25.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% ( | 54.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.07% ( | 75.93% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( | 22.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.63% ( | 56.36% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( | 36.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.77% ( | 73.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.11% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 2-2 @ 4.63% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 60 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 55 |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 55 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 54 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 33 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 31 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 30 |
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