

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 35.59%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (12.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 35.59% | 30.12% | 34.28% |
| Both teams to score 41.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.51% | 65.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.77% | 84.23% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% | 34.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.37% | 71.62% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% | 35.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.44% | 72.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 13.14% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.48% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.12% | 0-1 @ 12.82% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.03% Total : 34.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 60 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 55 |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 55 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 54 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 33 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 31 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 30 |
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