Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
