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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Jan 8, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Galatasaray
Fenerbahce
0 - 3
Galatasaray

Henrique (11'), Valencia (87'), Hakan Yandas (87')
Kahveci (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oliveira (32'), Akturkoglu (78'), Icardi (90+10')
Oliveira (26'), Boey (26'), Nelsson (34'), Mertens (45+8'), Kutlu (75'), Dubois (87'), Icardi (90+11')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fenerbahce 1-1 Galatasaray

Any predictions for this match beyond numerous cards and plenty aggression on and off the pitch between two intense rivals are hard to make given how well both teams have been playing of late. With so much on the line at the top of the table, it would be little surprise to see both teams settle for avoiding defeat should the match be heading towards that direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Galatasaray had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Galatasaray win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
FenerbahceDrawGalatasaray
54.32% (-0.116 -0.12) 23.3% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.38% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.18 0.18)46.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.168 0.17)68.42% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.025000000000006 0.03)16.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.09% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.92% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.218 0.22)34.79% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (0.23 0.23)71.53% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 54.31%
    Galatasaray 22.38%
    Draw 23.3%
FenerbahceDrawGalatasaray
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 54.31%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray

Fenerbahce
48.9%
Draw
24.5%
Galatasaray
26.6%
94
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Galatasaray
Zajc (26'), Dursun (68')
Aziz (33'), Hakan Yandas (56'), Kahveci (62')

Marcao (40'), Babel (45+2'), Cicaldau (58'), Antalyali (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 4pm
Galatasaray
1-2
Fenerbahce
Akturkoglu (16')
Kutlu (25'), Marcao (35'), Muslera (35'), Terim (45+3'), Nelsson (66'), Terim (90+7')
Ozil (31'), Crespo (90+4')
Tisserand (24'), Ozer (35'), Hakan Yandas (35'), Kahveci (90+7')
Tisserand (82')
Feb 6, 2021 4pm
Sep 27, 2020 5pm
Galatasaray
0-0
Fenerbahce

Luyindama (15'), Falcao (47'), Turan (61'), Antalyali (62'), Etebo (82'), Marcao (85'), Belhanda (86')

Sosa (12'), Tisserand (23'), Gonul (70'), Gustavo (90+1')
Feb 23, 2020 4pm
Fenerbahce
1-3
Galatasaray
Kruse (21' pen.)
Aziz (16'), Tufan (36'), Arslan (50'), Dirar (54'), Isla (58')
E. (67'), Turuc (85')
Donk (40'), Falcao (80' pen.), Onyekuru (90')
Belhanda (20'), Falcao (36'), Michael Seri (58'), Donk (68'), Mariano (74'), Andone (90'), Onyekuru (90')
Belhanda (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray33254473264779
2Fenerbahce32225579394071
3BesiktasBesiktas33218466303671
4Adana Demirspor32189569373263
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul321571045341152
6KonyasporKonyaspor33121384536949
7KayserisporKayserispor33154145457-349
8TrabzonsporTrabzonspor32146125047348
9Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3211111068581044
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor34118155262-1041
11KasimpasaKasimpasa33117154052-1240
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor32107154351-837
13SivassporSivasspor34107174453-937
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu32106163846-836
15Istanbulspor33105184061-2135
16Giresunspor32710153456-2231
17UmraniyesporUmraniyespor3269174357-1427
18GaziantepGaziantep3267193160-2925
19Hatayspor3265211971-5223

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