

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Groningen |
| 60.01% ( | 22.41% ( | 17.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% ( | 48.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.14% ( | 70.86% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( | 15.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.97% ( | 45.03% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.62% ( | 41.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.11% ( | 77.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 3-0 @ 6.83% ( 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 4-0 @ 3.15% ( 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 5-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 60% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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