

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Groningen | 
| 67.87% | 19.07% | 13.06% | 
| Both teams to score 49.34% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.86% | 43.14% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.46% | 65.54% | 
| Vitesse Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.3% | 11.7% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.19% | 36.81% | 
| Groningen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.88% | 44.12% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.78% | 80.22% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitesse | Draw | Groningen | 
| 2-0 @ 11.88% 1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 6.95% 4-0 @ 4.56% 4-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.85% 5-0 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.52% Total : 67.86% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.07% | 0-1 @ 4.23% 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-2 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.09% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.06% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 | 
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 | 
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 | 
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 | 
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 | 
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 | 
| > Full Version | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
